Polymarket
Polymarket traders place Brian Armstrong's chances of leaving his position as Coinbase CEO before the end of 2026 at 25 percent. The market, created on November 18, 2025, has generated $10,508 in trading volume as part of a broader question asking which major tech company leaders will
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Prediction markets assign a 64% probability to a meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and former U.S. President Donald Trump within the first 100 days. This figure comes from Polymarket, where trading volume has reached $3,499,706 as of April 29, 2025. The market settles “Yes” if the
Crypto
Prediction markets reflect pessimism about Ethereum reaching $3,000 by Friday, with traders citing concerns about market conditions and recent price movements. The market will resolve on February 14, 2025, at 12:00 PM ET, according to Polymarket data. Trader sentiment appears notably bearish, with DoorMoney noting that "2,
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The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its March meeting, according to Polymarket predictions showing a 93% probability for maintaining current rates. A 25 basis point decrease ranks as the second most likely outcome with a 6% probability, based on current trading data. The prediction market has reached
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CDU/CSU dominates the German Parliamentary Election prediction markets with a 94% probability of victory, while AfD follows at 7% according to Polymarket data. The market shows strong confidence in CDU/CSU maintaining their position as the leading party in the upcoming February 23, 2025 election. Trading volume on Polymarket
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Prediction markets signal a high probability of U.S. federal government restrictions on DeepSeek access coming into effect by spring 2025, with market data showing traders pricing in over 80% likelihood of implementation. Based on Polymarket trading between January 24-February 10, 2025, the two most probable scenarios are a ban
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Prediction markets show a strong probability that Google Maps will update its naming convention from "Gulf of Mexico" to "Gulf of America" by March 2025, following a recent executive order. According to price data from Polymarket between January 23-February 10, 2025, traders are pricing in approximately
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Polymarket traders assign a 97% probability that MicroStrategy will purchase additional Bitcoin between February 4-10, with $661,565 in trading volume backing this prediction. The market has maintained consistently high probability levels above 90% throughout early February. According to the market rules, a positive outcome requires MicroStrategy to announce new
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Polymarket traders assign only a 6% probability to Kanye West launching a cryptocurrency in February 2025, with the market showing a clear downward trend from earlier highs of approximately 40% in early February, based on $208,229 in trading volume. The market chart displays a sharp decline in probability over
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Polymarket data reveals Bitcoin has a 50% probability of reaching $90,000 and a 28% chance of hitting $110,000 in February, with the prediction market showing $9,022,000 in total trading volume. The two price levels represent the most likely outcomes according to current market sentiment. The probability
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Polymarket prediction data shows Daniel Noboa as the frontrunner in Ecuador's upcoming presidential election with a 66% probability of winning, while Luisa González trails at 34%, based on $2,674,316 in trading volume as of February 2025. The market's price chart reveals a steady upward
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The Polymarket prediction market shows a 56% probability that Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin will meet within the first 100 days after Trump's inauguration, with trading volume reaching $1.85 million as of February 10, 2025. According to Polymarket's order book data, traders are placing significant