Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Success! Now Check Your Email

To complete Subscribe, click the confirmation link in your inbox. If it doesn’t arrive within 3 minutes, check your spam folder.

Ok, Thanks

Nvidia Stock Drops 14% Despite Record Financial Results

George Cranston profile image
by George Cranston
Nvidia Stock Drops 14% Despite Record Financial Results

According to Yahoo finance reporting, Nvidia experienced a 14% stock decline following its February 26 earnings release, despite posting impressive fiscal 2025 results. The company reported revenue of $130.5 billion, up 114% year over year, with diluted earnings per share rising 147% to $2.94.

The tech giant faces several challenges contributing to investor concern. Mounting macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions have created market anxiety. Additionally, the Biden administration's "AI Diffusion" rules taking effect in May 2025 will place stricter restrictions on AI chip exports to China.

At the Morgan Stanley Technology Conference, Nvidia CFO Colette Kress noted that export volumes to China have already fallen to half their pre-control levels. The Trump administration's planned tariffs on goods from China, Canada, and Mexico could further disrupt Nvidia's supply chains and increase manufacturing costs.

Growth in Nvidia's data center segment has slowed considerably, posting just 20% year-over-year growth in Q4 fiscal 2025. This represents a sharp drop from the triple-digit growth rates seen in previous quarters, raising questions about Nvidia's premium market valuation.

Despite these hurdles, Nvidia maintains strong AI market dominance. Its new Blackwell architecture system has achieved the fastest product ramp-up in company history, contributing $11 billion in revenue during Q4. The company is targeting the global AI inferencing market, projected to grow from $106 billion in 2025 to $255 billion by 2030.

CEO Jensen Huang has identified "reasoning AI" as a major opportunity. This advanced workload requires:

  • 100 times more computing resources per task than simple AI inferencing
  • Blackwell systems specifically designed for these models
  • 20 times lower cost compared to previous Hopper 100 chips

This isn't Nvidia's first significant stock decline. The company fell 55% from October to December 2018 due to excess GPU inventory, but rebounded 80% in 2019. Nvidia also recovered strongly following pandemic-related drops in 2020 and saw a 40.6% recovery after a 19.5% pullback in July 2024.

Given historical patterns, investors might expect Nvidia stock to rally in coming months, though market conditions warrant caution. A dollar-cost averaging strategy could help build positions while managing risk in this volatile but potentially rewarding tech stock.

Nvidia's volatility mirrors broader tech market turbulence. Tesla shares recently plunged 15.43% in a single day, wiping $29 billion from Elon Musk's fortune. The selloff occurred amid global sales declines and Trump's tariff announcements that triggered a 4% Nasdaq drop, reflecting growing concerns about tech valuations in an uncertain economic climate.

George Cranston profile image
by George Cranston

Read More