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Prediction market data from Polymarket shows Daniel Noboa as the clear frontrunner in Ecuador's upcoming presidential election, with an 87% probability of victory. His main challenger, Luisa Gonzalez, stands at 13% probability, according to current market prices. The market has seen significant movement over the past month, with
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Polymarket assign a 29% probability that the Russia-Ukraine war will end within 90 days of a potential Trump presidency, according to Polymarket data. The market shows a 71% likelihood that the conflict will continue beyond this timeframe, with significant trading volume suggesting strong conviction in these probabilities. Trading activity has
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The likelihood of an East Coast port strike in January 2025 has fallen to just 1%, according to Polymarket prediction markets data, even as the master contract between the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) and East Coast port operators approaches its January 2025 expiration date. Trading data from Polymarket
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According to Polymarket prediction data, traders have assigned a 15% probability that Ethereum will reach $3,750 by the end of January 2024, making it the most likely price target among the options available. The second most probable outcome is $2,750, with a 12% chance assigned by market participants.
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Polymarket data reveals a 53% probability that Bitcoin will reach $110,000 in January, making it the most likely price target among the available ranges. The market has seen trading volume exceeding $19 million, with significant liquidity concentrated around this price level. Price expectations range from $50,000 to $200,
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Polymarket suggest there is a 13% probability that the United States will acquire Greenland by 2025, according to data from Polymarket. The market, which has seen over $1 million in trading volume, shows declining confidence in the potential acquisition compared to earlier peaks of around 20% probability. Trading activity indicates