Bitcoin is trading near $69,500 as of March 25, 2026. Kalshi's active prediction market for "When will Bitcoin cross $100K again?" places the probability of that happening in 2026 at roughly 38%. The Kalshi contract kxbtcmax100-26 draws traders to pick a quarter within 2026 when
What does the Polymarket market actually measure? The Polymarket "IPOs Before 2027" market resolves to "Yes" if Anduril completes a public stock listing on any recognized exchange by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A merger, acquisition, or company dissolution before that date resolves
With the 2026 NCAA Tournament underway, the championship market on Kalshi has drawn over $85 million in trading volume. Duke holds the top position at 20% implied probability, followed by Michigan at 18 percent and Arizona at 17%. Kalshi is a U.S. prediction market exchange regulated by the Commodity
With 13 days left before the deadline, Polymarket traders assign a 73% probability that EdgeX will launch its governance token by March 31, 2026. The market, which opened on January 22, has drawn $51,335 in trading volume on this specific outcome — by far the most active of the four
Kalshi's KXRT-PRO market asks one specific question: will Project Hail Mary score above 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer by the Monday after its wide release. As of March 16, 2026, early reviews put the film at roughly 94 to 96 percent, based on over 70 published critics&
Traders on Polymarket assign a 77% probability that Consensys will complete its initial public offering before December 31, 2026. The market has drawn over $333,000 in total volume since opening in November 2025. Consensys, the Ethereum infrastructure company behind the MetaMask wallet, is preparing to go public. In October
Bitcoin sits near $68,500 in mid-March 2026, roughly 46% below the all-time high of $126,000 set in October 2025. On Kalshi, traders currently price the chance of Bitcoin recrossing $100,000 before January 1, 2027 at 40 cents on the Yes contract — a 40% implied probability. The market
Traders on Polymarket currently price Goldman Sachs as the most likely lead underwriter for SpaceX's initial public offering, assigning it a 56% probability. Morgan Stanley trails at 38%, with all remaining banks below 4%. The market has drawn $688,907 in total volume since opening on December 25,
As of March 8, 2026, Bitcoin trades at approximately $67,291. Traders on Kalshi's regulated prediction exchange are actively pricing the asset's monthly floor through the "BTC One-Touch Minimum" market. The contract resolves based on the lowest price Bitcoin records on Binance's
Traders on Polymarket currently assign Ubisoft an 11% probability of being acquired before the end of 2026. The market, titled "Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027?", has generated over $534,000 in volume on the Ubisoft outcome alone. That places the French publisher near the bottom of
The Kalshi prediction market tracking annual cryptocurrency returns for 2026 currently assigns Bitcoin a 47% probability of closing the year above its January 1 opening price. That figure sits near a coin-flip, reflecting genuine uncertainty rather than a confident directional call. The market series, identified as kxcryptoreturny-26, covers all five
The market, created on September 30, 2025, has drawn over $1.35 million in total trading volume across five separate outcome thresholds. Each asks whether the token's FDV will exceed a given level one calendar day after launch, defined as 4:00 PM ET on the day after